*Author’s note – I was going to put up a full team report in one post, but it started to get really long, and I didn’t want to try half assing any of my analysis, so I’m splitting it up. This post will cover the offense and it’s position groups, and tomorrow I will post the defense and special teams. I hope you enjoy (if you can get through the whole thing).
The Seahawks lost 23-13 to the Dallas Cowboys last week, but it was easily one of their best performances of the year. The defense was solid as usual, and the young offensive line played perhaps their best game of the year. The end result dropped the team to 2-6 on the season, and while it hasn’t all been very pretty, I think the future looks a little brighter after the team’s showing in Texas, albeit that light at the end of the tunnel is probably beyond this season. So, as many do, it’s time for me to look back on what I’ve seen with Pete Carroll’s squad and what might happen in the next eight games and beyond. The season is pretty much over as far as contending, but the second half of this season should not be judged on wins and losses, and can still be very much successful.
Quarterbacks: D-
If I was just grading Tarvaris Jackson, it would probably be just a solid D, but Charlie Whitehurst’s performance in Cleveland was the kind of F that you give simply because there aren’t G or H grades.
I was a proponent on seeing more of Whitehurst during the preseason and when the regular season began. Not to say I thought he was the answer, but my rational was that I’ve seen plenty of Jackson in Minnesota and I know what he is. Whitehurst was a bit more of an enigma, and after trading a third round pick for him, I wanted a chance to see a bit more before I was ready to toss him aside. Well, now I’ve seen, and I don’t want to ever have to see him again. I wanted Whitehurst to have the chance to prove himself one way or the other and he has proven that he doesn’t belong anywhere near a starting job in the NFL. There’s a reason he was the third stringer in San Diego and why he couldn’t compete with Matt Hasselbeck or even Jackson in Seattle.
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Jackson isn't very good, but don't be too
hard on him. (photo from Deseret News) |
As for Jackson, as I said above, he is what he is. I see pretty much the same player that was in Minnesota. He is a good athlete with a good arm, but just hasn’t progressed as a quarterback anymore this year than in his first five. He has horrible pocket awareness, doesn’t read defenses very well, doesn’t have great mechanics, and isn’t a very accurate passer. For the first three games of the season, he protected the ball well, but that was more a factor of him taking zero chances down field than really being smart or efficient with his play. He was completing 60.8% of his passes, but averaged just 5.4 yards per attempt, which doesn’t cut it. He also had just three touchdown passes over the first three games to go along with three interceptions (two were on Hail Mary’s though). He finally opened it up against Atlanta, and was very good in a failed second half comeback attempt in that game. From then on, four games, he kept his completion percentage right at 60% and his yards per attempt went way up to a respectable 7.9. However, he still has only thrown an average of one TD per game, four total, over that time and has also now thrown seven picks, including three last week vs. Dallas. The Dallas game was really his worst of the year in my opinion, in large part because it was the game in which he had the best protection. It was probably the first game of the year where you could say that every facet of the team played well except for the quarterback. Jackson isn’t a horrible quarterback, but he’s not very good. Unless you have a great running game to support him, he isn’t the caliber of player you can win with at the quarterback position. As of now, he is clearly the best the Seahawks have, and should hold down the job the rest of the year, although I would be interested to see if the coaches ever saw enough progress in practice from rookie Josh Portis to give him some playing time late in the season.
Running Backs: C+
Marshawn Lynch’s overall stats are okay, 97 carries for 398 yards, a 4.1 average, and four touchdowns, but most of that came from his 135 yard performance last Sunday. He averaged 5.9 yards per carry in that game, compared to just 3.6 on his attempts the rest of the year. The run blocking wasn’t very good for him through the first six games, but he was also a bit tentative, and was dancing way too much in the backfield for a runner of his type. Overall, he’s playing about to the same level he has most of his career and should hopefully continue his upward trend. I’d expect him to come close to 1000 yards by the end of the year. He’s the kind of back that solidifies you at the position, but will never be able to make many big plays of carry your team.
Leon Washington hasn’t had many touches this year, but has done the most with what he’s gotten. He’s averaging 6.1 yards per attempt, but has gotten just 21 carries this year. He’s also caught eight passes, but for just 36 yards. He’s not the kind of back that you can give 20 carries a game to and expect him to maintain his success, but I’d like to see him start getting 6-10 touches per game going forward. He seems to have become the clear #2 back ahead of Justin Forsett though.
Forsett has been largely ineffective this year and has rightfully begun to fall out of favor in the backfield rotation. He’s averaging a measly 2.7 yards on rushes and 6.6 yards on receptions. He lacks the explosiveness of Washington and the power of Lynch, so it’s hard to really see any reason for him to be a big part of the offense anymore. He probably won’t disappear from the field completely, as he is the team’s best pass blocker at the position, but don’t expect too many touches going forward.
Another player whose role has decreased as the season has gone on is fullback Michael Robinson. The fullback position hasn’t been vital in this offense since Carroll took over, and I would hardly consider Robinson a true fullback, but he was seeing the ball more earlier in the year. He hurt himself on his first carry of the year against the 49ers and missed a few games, and then upon returning, was ineffective and fumbled against the Giants and hasn’t seen the ball since. The team is probably a bit better off in two tight end sets anyway, but I do long to see a classic blocking back like Mack Strong again. Given how much the position was utilized by Carroll at USC, I wouldn’t be shocked to see the team look for someone free agency or late in the draft next year. For now, Robinson is a good special teams player and will continue in that capacity.
Wide Receivers: B
The group was really hurt earlier in the year by the absence of Sidney Rice for the first two games, but it may have ended up being a bit of a blessing in disguise, as it also allowed the added playing time for and emergence of rookie Doug Baldwin. Rice has been as advertised since coming over from the Vikings as a highly paid free agent. Yes, he was hurt, but the Seahawks knew he had an injury history when they brought him on. He has been healthy the last six games and has produced, especially when Tarvaris Jackson has played. Rice has 27 catches for 435 yards, a 16.1 average, and one TD on the season so far. Over the course of a full season, you’re looking at around 75 catches for 1200 yards, which are pretty close to Pro Bowl numbers. Rice has shown good hands and body control, and is really the only receiver that is capable of consistently winning one on one matchups and making plays downfield. He should continue to play at a consistently high level the rest of the year and I think can still get better over the next couple seasons.
Undrafted rookie Doug Baldwin has been the biggest surprise on the team this year. He leads the team with 28 receptions and has 434 yards and two TDs to go with it. Baldwin has showed good hands and precise route running for a rookie and has been the most dependable pass catcher the Seahawks have. Perhaps most surprising has been his ability to make big plays in the passing game. As he starts to get more attention in the second half of the season, I don’t think he’ll make as many big plays, but his overall production should remain consistent, and I would think he’ll probably the Hawks’ second leading receiver at the end of the year.
Last year’s big surprise offensive player, Mike Williams, has been perhaps this year’s biggest disappointment. He hasn’t clicked with Tarvaris Jackson yet and thus has been fairly ineffective. In fact, at times the overemphasis on getting Williams involved has created problems for the offense and caused turnovers. Williams is a big bodied wide out that uses that advantage to make up for the fact that he doesn’t get great separation, but if your QB doesn’t have the confidence or ability to throw into those tight spaces, then he becomes useless as an offensive weapon. Big Mike was solid last year, but not amazing and most were hoping he’d take a step forward this season. I don’t know if he’s really stepped back, but he remains stuck as a slower possession receiver that drops a few too many balls. Couple that with an ineffective QB and his seemingly constant injury issues, and you start to end up with a guy that might not be the best option to have on the field for this team.
The rest of the receiving corps have been playing well for their part. Ben Obomanu will never be a star, but he is solid and consistent. His 23 catches and 248 yards are good for third on the team and his two touchdowns are tied for first. Golden Tate hasn’t been spectacular, but he’s made the plays he should and does look to be making some progress in year two. At this point I might like to see him get some more opportunities than he has been to see if he can really make an impact in the wide receiver rotation in the second half. The last receiver on the roster, rookie Kris Durham hasn’t played much and hasn’t shown me anything, in pre or regular season action to make me think he’ll ever be a worthwhile NFL player.
Tight Ends: C-
A position group that was once thought to be the Seahawks biggest strength on offense has been a total nonfactor this year. The group has combined for just 24 catches for 233 yards and no touchdowns in 2011. The injury to Kohn Carlson did hurt the depth a bit, but the failures of this group start with free agent pick up Zach Miller. Not all of it is his fault, I think the coaching staff has misused him a lot and Tarvaris Jackson is not finding him as often as he should, but he was a Pro Bowl player the last few years that looked to be on the cusp of being one of the top 3-5 tight ends in the game. He’s averaging less than two catches per game, has a not had more than three in any one game (twice), and has had two games were he didn’t catch any passes (he also missed one with injury). Not exactly worth what the Seahawks are paying him. I think the biggest priority for the offense in the second half, especially as the O-line improves, is to get him way more involved. If given more chances to catch passes, he then needs to make some plays, because I can’t think of one great play he’s had yet.
Due to injuries, Anthony McCoy has been forced into the backup and at times starter role at tight end and had mixed results. He seems to be able to get open fairly consistently, but has not shown the hands that he did while making numerous great plays in the preseason. It’s getting to the point were I kind of cringe every time a pass heads his way, and then am surprised if he does catch it. He needs to improve his reliability quick, of he may find himself out of the league. I think Cameron Morrah is a much better receiver, and McCoy isn’t a very good blocker that you would then like to see as the third tight end to round out the group.
Morrah started the season on the PUP list and just came back after week six. In the two games he’s played, he caught two passes in each and showed to at least be reliable. He’s not much of a blocker though, so I’d like to see more of the flashes of big play ability he showed last year in the second half this year. Hopefully once he shakes the rust off, and can hopefully stay healthy, we’ll get to see some of that.
Offensive Line: C
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Okung needs to be Seattle's best offensive player.
(photo from ESPN) |
This grade might shock some people, and many might disagree, but I base it on two main factors. First, I expected the young line to struggle this year, especially early and especially without a full offseason to work together. Second, I have seen improvement, capped off by the performance last game in Dallas that really gives me hope and probably moved the grade up a couple notches from a D+. The whole thing begins and ends with second year left tackle Russell Okung. They struggled most early in the year when he wasn’t playing well and wasn’t being utilized like he should have been. It’s hard to say which caused which, but once the team started putting him out on blindside on his own and he started handling the left side and the opposition’s best pass rusher like he can, then everything else started to improve. Again, this was all capped off to this point with his performance against Dallas. Much like he did last year with Julius Peppers, seeing him handle DeMarcus Ware so well was just amazing and gives me so much confidence in the future. If, and it still is an if, he can continue to do that every week, on a level anywhere close to his predecessor Walter Jones did, then the rest of the offensive line will fall in line. Now Okung is not Walter Jones, but he does have the talent to be a top three tackle in the NFL. Hopefully he gets close to there by the end of this season.
Another disappointing Raider signee has been left guard Robert Gallery. He’s been injured much of the year, which sucks, but you can’t always control injuries. When he has played though, I haven’t seen a player who is anywhere close to the Pro Bowler we thought we were getting. He hasn’t been a dominant blocker in the run or pass game and has had too many missed assignments and penalties. Gallery was supposed to already know this offense and line scheme when he followed coach Tom Cable to Seattle, and was supposed to be able to act as a leader and mentor to the rest of the young inexperienced lineman. I haven’t seen that happening at all. Granted I don’t see practices or what happens behind closed doors, but it needs to translate to the field better than it has. Backup Paul McQuistan filled in pretty well, and at times looked like maybe the better option. Gallery is the big money guy though, and needs to earn it. Like the rest of the line, he did play better in Dallas than he had previously, but he needs to do at least that well, minus the penalties, going forward.
The guy who probably needs to show me the most in the second half is center Max Unger. He hasn’t played as well as I would have liked to have seen, especially early, and more than any other starter, I’m not sure if he’s the answer for his position going forward. He’s not physically capable of winning one on one matchups inside, and looks overmatched at times. Now not every center can or does sustain or make blocks one on one against big defensive tackles, but those who can’t need to make up for it in other ways, and that’s what I really want to start seeing from Unger. He needs to be almost flawless at making the correct reads at the line and picking up or helping out on the correct defender on every play. Unless he can be consistent in these facets of his line play, then he becomes a liability that can’t be afforded. Hopefully he can.
Rookie right guard John Moffitt has been maybe the most consistent player on the line. He’s not the best, but for a rookie third round draft pick, I think he’s played alright so far. He’s not dominant, nor has he gone without mistakes, but it’s all relative. I hold a player like Robert Gallery to a much higher standard than I do Moffitt at this point. I like what I’ve seen and think if he continues to progress as his current rate, he’ll be a solid starting lineman for this team for years to come.
Then there is James Carpenter. I didn’t agree with taking him with the 25th pick in the draft and still don’t. I admit that he was a third round pick like Moffitt, then my opinion might be very different on him, but he wasn’t. He just isn’t a starting caliber player at this point and needs a lot of help to even be in a position not to hurt the team. He’s physically powerful enough to be a dominant run blocker, but he hasn’t been anywhere close to that. In the pass game, he hasn’t shown anywhere near the lateral quickness to stay with any of the better pass rushers in the league. He has shown some improvement, but not nearly enough to make me think he’s going to be worth the high draft pick Seattle used on him or even pan out at all. More than anyone, he has been helped by Okung’s improved play, as it allows the Seahawks to consistently offer him the help, be it with a tight end or running back, that he needs on the edge. It really limits the offense to always have to do that though. If he is going to work, I think it most likely will be as a guard sometime down the line, but I just don’t see him succeeding as a tackle. Hopefully I’m wrong, but I haven’t been so far.
Offense Overall: D-
Seattle has the 29th ranked offense in the league as far as yards per game, at 296.1. They get that by being 30th in rushing at 88.3 yards per game, and 23rd passing at 207.9 per game, while allowing a second worst 29 sacks. They average just 15.3 points per game, good (or bad) for 28th in the NFL, and have scored 13 or less in five of their eight games this year. They’ve failed in almost every aspect of offensive football in the first half of the season and just have not been good enough to win games consistently. In short, the offense is not good. Don’t hold your breath either, because it’s not going to get much better this year. It should get a little better though, and it’s the small steps that fans should pay attention to.
First and foremost is the offensive line. They are showing signs of starting to come together and if that continues, the running game in particular should start to show more consistent success. If this team can start to run the ball with effectiveness game in and game out, then they can start to set the tone and keep the team in games by controlling the clock. They might take a bit of a step back this week against the Ravens defense, but the final seven games of the season will provide a great opportunity for success. If this group can be solid in the second half, they can position themselves to jump to the next level in 2012 and really put the offense in a position for success for the first time in years.
The passing game unfortunately will probably not improve much overall, but there are areas that I mentioned above that can be bright spots. In particular, if Zach Miller can start to be a viable weapon in the passing game, it will bode very well for the future of the team. Along with the continuation of quality play from wide outs Sidney Rice and Doug Baldwin, and Seattle will have to feel good about where they are as far as aerial weapons going into 2012. A bonus would be to see some big plays from Golden Tate either down the field or on screens and short passes. I don’t see Tarvaris Jackson getting any better though, and that will hold things back and probably prevent the team from winning too many more games. He will probably have a couple good games in the final eight and show some flashes of brilliance, but on the whole he’ll be very inconsistent and will turn the ball over too much or just fail to make too many of the plays that he should. He is just a stopgap though, and I think that was always the case. I don’t blame the front office for bringing him in and hoping for better, as long as they weren’t really expecting too much. In the end it was still a far better option than trading valuable draft picks and spending big money on players like Carson Palmer or Kevin Kolb, who are really not much better than Jackson. In fact, I applaud John Schneider and Pete Carroll for showing restraint and sticking to their rebuilding plan in 2011. Things might not ever look good on the offensive side if the ball this year, but building the foundation of something is never the pretty part. By the end of December I hope to see a team that I feel confident putting a rookie quarterback (or other option) in charge of and being able to see him have an opportunity for success and growth.
To read part 2 of my midseason report, click here:
http://www.aspiringnflscout.com/2011/11/seahawks-midseason-report-card-part-2.html.